La Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 17:30
12.1145.4%
X3.1930.0%
23.9024.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Celta
WWLDLDDWLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Vallecano
LLLDWDWWDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.10
0.80
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.00
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.70
Against
4.20
9.00
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.10
0.80
Goals conceded
1.30
2.10
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Celta attack
1.30goals per matchVallecano conceded1.30Matchup
Vallecano attack
1.10goals per matchCelta conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.70
Corners against
4.20
9.00
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.10
Match total
5.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.00N=10
Committed
16.00N=10
26.40
Match total
31.10
Shots
13.90N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
4.50
On target
3.70
9%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches223
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.4%42.2%-3.3 pp
Draw30.0%34.1%+4.0 pp
Away24.6%23.8%-0.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.535.4%
Over 3.518.4%
BTTS42.6%
Historical average
1.26–0.86
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-015.7%
1-115.2%
1-011.7%
2-011.2%
0-16.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.36–4.09
Average total9.45
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=223.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.8%
Over 9.544.4%
Over 10.532.3%
Over 11.525.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches98
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.6%20.6%–38.2% CI
Draw FT50.0%40.3%–59.7% CI
Away FT21.4%14.5%–30.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.06
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal64.3%
2+ goals35.7%
3+ goals6.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home46.9%
Away37.8%