La Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 17:30
12.1145.4%
X3.1930.0%
23.9024.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Celta
WWLDLDDWLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Vallecano
LLLDWDWWDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.10
0.80
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.00
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.70
Against
4.20
9.00
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.10
0.80
Goals conceded
1.30
2.10
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Celta attack

1.30goals per match
Vallecano conceded1.30
Matchup

Vallecano attack

1.10goals per match
Celta conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.70
Corners against
4.20
9.00
Match total
9.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.10
Match total
5.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
16.00N=10
26.40
Match total
31.10

Shots

13.90N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
4.50
On target
3.70
9%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches223
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.4%42.2%-3.3 pp
Draw30.0%34.1%+4.0 pp
Away24.6%23.8%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.535.4%
Over 3.518.4%
BTTS42.6%

Historical average

1.260.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-015.7%
1-115.2%
1-011.7%
2-011.2%
0-16.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.364.09
Average total9.45

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=223.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.8%
Over 9.544.4%
Over 10.532.3%
Over 11.525.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches98
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.6%20.6%–38.2% CI
Draw FT50.0%40.3%–59.7% CI
Away FT21.4%14.5%–30.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.06

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.3%
2+ goals35.7%
3+ goals6.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.9%
Away37.8%