La Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 15:15
12.6735.8%
X3.2929.1%
22.7335.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Elche
LDLLLLDWLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Valladolid
LWLLLLLWLL
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
0.60
1.80
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.70
1.20
2H goals
0.80
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.00N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.50
Against
4.30
10.50
Total
8.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.60
1.80
Goals conceded
1.90
2.70
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Elche attack
0.90goals per matchValladolid conceded1.90Matchup
Valladolid attack
0.60goals per matchElche conceded1.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.20
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.30
10.50
Match total
8.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.50
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.90N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
25.80
Match total
26.70
Shots
11.60N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
3.70
On target
2.50
8%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches719
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.8%31.8%-4.0 pp
Draw29.1%31.2%+2.1 pp
Away35.1%37.0%+1.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.522.7%
BTTS52.7%
Historical average
1.17–1.29
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.4%
0-112.1%
2-19.0%
1-08.3%
0-08.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.14–4.69
Average total9.83
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=718.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.550.1%
Over 10.538.0%
Over 11.527.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches241
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.6%21.4%–32.5% CI
Draw FT40.2%34.3%–46.5% CI
Away FT33.2%27.6%–39.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.33
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.9%
2+ goals38.2%
3+ goals13.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home46.1%
Away53.9%