La Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 15:15
12.6735.8%
X3.2929.1%
22.7335.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Elche
LDLLLLDWLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Valladolid
LWLLLLLWLL
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.60
1.80
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.70
1.20
2H goals
0.80
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.50
Against
4.30
10.50
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.60
1.80
Goals conceded
1.90
2.70
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Elche attack

0.90goals per match
Valladolid conceded1.90
Matchup

Valladolid attack

0.60goals per match
Elche conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.20
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.30
10.50
Match total
8.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.50
Match total
4.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.90N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
25.80
Match total
26.70

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
3.70
On target
2.50
8%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches719
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.8%31.8%-4.0 pp
Draw29.1%31.2%+2.1 pp
Away35.1%37.0%+1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.522.7%
BTTS52.7%

Historical average

1.171.29

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.4%
0-112.1%
2-19.0%
1-08.3%
0-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.144.69
Average total9.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=718.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.550.1%
Over 10.538.0%
Over 11.527.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches241
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.6%21.4%–32.5% CI
Draw FT40.2%34.3%–46.5% CI
Away FT33.2%27.6%–39.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.9%
2+ goals38.2%
3+ goals13.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.1%
Away53.9%