La Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 13:00
11.2675.8%
X6.0015.9%
211.608.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Real Madrid
WDWWDWDWWD
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Espanol
LDLDDDWLWL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.10
0.70
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.90
1.80
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
2.90N=10
3.00
Against
7.30
9.30
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.10
0.70
Goals conceded
1.40
2.80
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

2.10goals per match
Espanol conceded1.40
Matchup

Espanol attack

1.10goals per match
Real Madrid conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.20
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
3.00
Corners against
7.30
9.30
Match total
10.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.10
Match total
6.10
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
23.40
Match total
24.90

Shots

19.00N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
6.60
On target
3.10
11%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches46
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home75.8%78.3%+2.4 pp
Draw15.9%15.2%-0.7 pp
Away8.2%6.5%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.558.7%
Over 3.530.4%
BTTS47.8%

Historical average

2.330.70

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-015.2%
2-113.0%
3-013.0%
1-013.0%
1-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.873.20
Average total10.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=46.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.4%
Over 9.563.0%
Over 10.547.8%
Over 11.528.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT62.5%38.6%–81.5% CI
Draw FT37.5%18.5%–61.4% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–19.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.75

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal93.8%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals18.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home93.8%
Away37.5%