La Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-06 · 20:00
12.8134.1%
X3.0631.3%
22.7734.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Osasuna
WWLLWWLWLL
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM
Celta
LLLLLDWLWD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.90
1.00
Conceded
2.00
30%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
5.00N=10
3.30
Against
4.90
7.90
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded
2.00
2.00
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Osasuna attack

1.00goals per match
Celta conceded2.00
Matchup

Celta attack

0.90goals per match
Osasuna conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
3.30
Corners against
4.90
7.90
Match total
9.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.60
Match total
5.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
27.50
Match total
26.40

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
4.50
On target
4.00
7%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches423
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.1%30.7%-3.4 pp
Draw31.3%36.2%+4.9 pp
Away34.6%33.1%-1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.561.2%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.515.8%
BTTS44.9%

Historical average

1.001.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-015.1%
1-114.9%
0-111.8%
1-011.8%
1-28.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.614.51
Average total9.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=423.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.0%
Over 9.545.9%
Over 10.533.1%
Over 11.522.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches182
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.6%22.5%–35.5% CI
Draw FT46.2%39.1%–53.4% CI
Away FT25.3%19.5%–32.1% CI

Remaining goals

0.99

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.8%
2+ goals25.8%
3+ goals7.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.4%
Away39.6%