La Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-05 · 17:30
13.0431.5%
X3.1330.6%
22.5337.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vallecano
WWDWWDLLWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Ath Bilbao
WDDLLDLLWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.50
1.10
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.10
Against
4.60
10.20
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.60
2.60
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Vallecano attack

1.60goals per match
Ath Bilbao conceded1.60
Matchup

Ath Bilbao attack

1.10goals per match
Vallecano conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.60
10.20
Match total
8.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
1.90N=10
5.90
Match total
4.90
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
27.40
Match total
26.80

Shots

16.00N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
5.70
On target
3.30
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches159
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.5%28.3%-3.2 pp
Draw30.6%30.2%-0.4 pp
Away37.9%41.5%+3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.522.6%
BTTS50.3%

Historical average

1.071.23

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-115.1%
0-012.6%
1-111.9%
1-210.1%
1-08.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.455.17
Average total9.62

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=159.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.6%
Over 9.550.9%
Over 10.537.1%
Over 11.529.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches57
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.3%16.6%–39.0% CI
Draw FT49.1%36.6%–61.7% CI
Away FT24.6%15.2%–37.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.12

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.9%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals10.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.6%
Away42.1%