La Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-05 · 13:00
12.5537.5%
X3.2129.8%
22.9332.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Valladolid
WLDWWWLLWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Espanol
WLDLDDDWLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
1.10
0.60
Conceded
1.20
20%
Over 2.5
40%
20%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.40
1H goals
0.80
1.10
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
2.50N=10
6.00
Against
6.80
11.10
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.10
0.60
Goals conceded
1.20
1.50
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Valladolid attack
0.90goals per matchEspanol conceded1.20Matchup
Espanol attack
1.10goals per matchValladolid conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
2.50N=10
6.00
Corners against
6.80
11.10
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.70
Match total
6.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.60N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
27.40
Match total
25.80
Shots
13.20N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
5.20
On target
3.10
7%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches458
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.5%32.8%-4.8 pp
Draw29.8%39.1%+9.3 pp
Away32.7%28.2%-4.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.517.0%
BTTS52.0%
Historical average
1.13–1.06
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-120.3%
0-012.0%
1-011.1%
2-19.2%
0-18.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.17–4.64
Average total9.81
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=457.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.8%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.540.5%
Over 11.529.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches161
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.3%21.0%–34.7% CI
Draw FT54.7%46.9%–62.2% CI
Away FT18.0%12.8%–24.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.20
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal65.8%
2+ goals39.8%
3+ goals11.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.9%
Away42.2%