La Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-05 · 13:00
12.5537.5%
X3.2129.8%
22.9332.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Valladolid
WLDWWWLLWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Espanol
WLDLDDDWLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.10
0.60
Conceded
1.20
20%
Over 2.5
40%
20%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.40
1H goals
0.80
1.10
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
2.50N=10
6.00
Against
6.80
11.10
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.10
0.60
Goals conceded
1.20
1.50
Total goals
2.30
30%3/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Valladolid attack

0.90goals per match
Espanol conceded1.20
Matchup

Espanol attack

1.10goals per match
Valladolid conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.60
30%3/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
2.50N=10
6.00
Corners against
6.80
11.10
Match total
9.30
90%9/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.70
Match total
6.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
27.40
Match total
25.80

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
5.20
On target
3.10
7%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches458
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.5%32.8%-4.8 pp
Draw29.8%39.1%+9.3 pp
Away32.7%28.2%-4.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.517.0%
BTTS52.0%

Historical average

1.131.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-120.3%
0-012.0%
1-011.1%
2-19.2%
0-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.174.64
Average total9.81

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=457.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.8%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.540.5%
Over 11.529.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches161
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.3%21.0%–34.7% CI
Draw FT54.7%46.9%–62.2% CI
Away FT18.0%12.8%–24.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.8%
2+ goals39.8%
3+ goals11.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.9%
Away42.2%