La Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-04 · 20:00
11.7056.3%
X3.6526.2%
25.4617.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ath Madrid
WLWDDWLWDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Sevilla
LWDWLDDLLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.10
0.80
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
80%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
6.30N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.20
Against
5.10
9.50
Total
8.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.10
0.80
Goals conceded
1.60
2.40
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ath Madrid attack
1.60goals per matchSevilla conceded1.60Matchup
Sevilla attack
1.10goals per matchAth Madrid conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.20
Corners against
5.10
9.50
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
3.80N=10
5.30
Match total
6.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.40N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
24.40
Match total
24.10
Shots
15.90N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
5.30
On target
3.20
10%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches205
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.3%52.2%-4.1 pp
Draw26.2%27.8%+1.6 pp
Away17.5%20.0%+2.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.513.2%
BTTS50.2%
Historical average
1.50–0.83
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-116.1%
1-114.6%
2-010.7%
1-010.2%
0-08.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.96–3.75
Average total9.70
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=205.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.0%
Over 9.552.7%
Over 10.541.5%
Over 11.529.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches72
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.8%34.8%–57.3% CI
Draw FT36.1%26.0%–47.6% CI
Away FT18.1%10.9%–28.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.36
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals19.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home63.9%
Away34.7%