La Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-04 · 15:15
13.4327.9%
X3.6626.2%
22.0945.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Almeria
LWWWWLDWLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Villarreal
DLDLLLWDLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.50
1.20
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
0.80
60%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.80
Against
6.70
9.80
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.50
1.20
Goals conceded
1.40
2.90
Total goals
1.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Almeria attack

1.70goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.40
Matchup

Villarreal attack

0.50goals per match
Almeria conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.80
Corners against
6.70
9.80
Match total
11.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
2.10N=10
5.40
Match total
4.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
23.80
Match total
25.60

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
4.50
On target
3.00
14%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches150
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.9%24.7%-3.3 pp
Draw26.2%26.0%-0.2 pp
Away45.9%49.3%+3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.3%
Over 2.565.3%
Over 3.540.7%
BTTS70.7%

Historical average

1.331.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.0%
1-29.3%
2-19.3%
1-38.7%
2-36.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.375.03
Average total9.40

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=150.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.3%
Over 9.548.0%
Over 10.538.7%
Over 11.527.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches30
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%7.3%–33.6% CI
Draw FT50.0%33.2%–66.8% CI
Away FT33.3%19.2%–51.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.77

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals56.7%
3+ goals26.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away60.0%