La Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-03 · 20:00
11.5362.7%
X3.9324.4%
27.4712.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sociedad
DWWWLDWWLD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Cadiz
LWDLDLWLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.60
0.80
Conceded
1.80
20%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.00
0.70
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.80
Against
6.40
9.40
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.60
0.80
Goals conceded
1.80
2.00
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Sociedad attack

1.20goals per match
Cadiz conceded1.80
Matchup

Cadiz attack

0.60goals per match
Sociedad conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
2.50N=10
4.80
Corners against
6.40
9.40
Match total
8.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.30N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.80
Match total
5.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

16.90N=10
Committed
16.00N=10
30.10
Match total
29.90

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
4.80
On target
2.20
10%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches22
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.7%68.2%+5.5 pp
Draw24.4%31.8%+7.4 pp
Away12.8%0.0%-12.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.531.8%
Over 3.518.2%
BTTS45.5%

Historical average

1.770.55

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-022.7%
1-118.2%
2-018.2%
2-19.1%
0-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.863.18
Average total8.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=22.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.545.5%
Over 9.522.7%
Over 10.513.6%
Over 11.59.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT68.8%44.4%–85.8% CI
Draw FT31.3%14.2%–55.6% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–19.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals31.3%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away18.8%