La Liga · 2022/23
2023-02-26 · 17:30
16.8713.9%
X4.9019.5%
21.4466.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Almeria
WLWWWWLDWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Barcelona
WWWLWWWWWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.70
1.30
Conceded
0.50
60%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.80
1.40
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.30
Against
3.90
9.40
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.70
1.30
Goals conceded
0.50
3.10
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Almeria attack

1.80goals per match
Barcelona conceded0.50
Matchup

Barcelona attack

1.70goals per match
Almeria conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.30
Corners against
3.90
9.40
Match total
8.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.20N=10
For
3.10N=10
6.10
Match total
5.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.00N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
24.30
Match total
25.70

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
4.60
On target
4.00
15%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches80
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home13.9%17.5%+3.6 pp
Draw19.5%22.5%+3.0 pp
Away66.5%60.0%-6.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.565.0%
Over 3.538.8%
BTTS56.3%

Historical average

1.012.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-210.0%
1-110.0%
0-28.8%
0-38.8%
0-18.8%

Comparable corner averages

3.746.56
Average total10.30

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=80.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.556.3%
Over 10.548.8%
Over 11.535.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT12.5%3.5%–36.0% CI
Draw FT31.3%14.2%–55.6% CI
Away FT56.3%33.2%–76.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.69

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals56.3%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home25.0%
Away68.8%