La Liga · 2022/23
2023-02-26 · 15:15
11.6857.1%
X3.7725.4%
25.4917.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Celta
LWWLDLDDWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Valladolid
LLWLLLLLWL
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.60
1.20
Conceded
2.00
40%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.70
1.10
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.50
Against
5.20
8.50
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.60
1.20
Goals conceded
2.00
2.30
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Celta attack

1.10goals per match
Valladolid conceded2.00
Matchup

Valladolid attack

0.60goals per match
Celta conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.20
8.50
Match total
9.70
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.10
Match total
4.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
27.30
Match total
27.30

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
4.30
On target
2.50
8%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches242
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.1%58.7%+1.6 pp
Draw25.4%24.8%-0.6 pp
Away17.5%16.5%-0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.524.0%
BTTS51.7%

Historical average

1.690.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-114.5%
1-012.4%
1-112.0%
2-011.6%
0-07.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.763.71
Average total9.47

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=242.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.5%
Over 9.547.5%
Over 10.538.4%
Over 11.528.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches84
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT51.2%40.7%–61.6% CI
Draw FT29.8%21.0%–40.2% CI
Away FT19.0%12.1%–28.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.8%
2+ goals46.4%
3+ goals20.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.5%
Away39.3%