La Liga · 2022/23
2023-02-25 · 17:30
11.8252.8%
X3.6526.3%
24.6020.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Real Madrid
WWDWWDWDWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Ath Madrid
WDWWWLLDWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.20
0.70
Conceded
0.70
60%
Over 2.5
20%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.60
1.70
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
4.20N=10
2.80
Against
5.30
9.30
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.20
0.70
Goals conceded
0.70
2.90
Total goals
1.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

2.20goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded0.70
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

1.20goals per match
Real Madrid conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
2.80
Corners against
5.30
9.30
Match total
9.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.60
Match total
5.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
23.60
Match total
26.90

Shots

19.40N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
6.30
On target
4.90
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches290
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.8%58.6%+5.8 pp
Draw26.3%26.6%+0.2 pp
Away20.9%14.8%-6.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.525.2%
BTTS48.3%

Historical average

1.690.81

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-013.4%
1-013.1%
2-112.1%
1-111.0%
0-09.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.034.11
Average total10.14

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=290.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.6%
Over 9.551.7%
Over 10.542.8%
Over 11.534.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches97
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.2%31.0%–50.2% CI
Draw FT42.3%32.9%–52.2% CI
Away FT17.5%11.2%–26.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.1%
2+ goals37.1%
3+ goals7.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.7%
Away35.1%