La Liga · 2022/23
2023-02-25 · 15:15
12.9932.1%
X2.9632.4%
22.7035.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cadiz
LLDDDWDDWW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Vallecano
WLLLDWDWWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.30
1.40
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.80
Against
4.70
9.30
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded
1.20
2.50
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Cadiz attack

1.10goals per match
Vallecano conceded1.20
Matchup

Vallecano attack

1.30goals per match
Cadiz conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.90
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.80
Corners against
4.70
9.30
Match total
9.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.70
Match total
5.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
15.80N=10
24.80
Match total
30.20

Shots

10.70N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
3.40
On target
3.80
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches162
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.1%29.6%-2.4 pp
Draw32.4%37.0%+4.6 pp
Away35.5%33.3%-2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.4%
Over 2.532.7%
Over 3.513.0%
BTTS45.1%

Historical average

0.991.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.3%
0-014.2%
0-111.1%
1-09.3%
1-28.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.074.31
Average total8.38

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=162.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.546.3%
Over 9.537.0%
Over 10.527.2%
Over 11.519.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches73
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.4%18.5%–38.6% CI
Draw FT47.9%36.9%–59.2% CI
Away FT24.7%16.2%–35.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.15

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.5%
2+ goals37.0%
3+ goals8.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.6%
Away43.8%