La Liga · 2022/23
2023-02-25 · 15:15
12.9932.1%
X2.9632.4%
22.7035.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Cadiz
LLDDDWDDWW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Vallecano
WLLLDWDWWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.30
1.40
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.50N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.80
Against
4.70
9.30
Total
9.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded
1.20
2.50
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Cadiz attack
1.10goals per matchVallecano conceded1.20Matchup
Vallecano attack
1.30goals per matchCadiz conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.90
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.80
Corners against
4.70
9.30
Match total
9.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.70
Match total
5.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.40N=10
Committed
15.80N=10
24.80
Match total
30.20
Shots
10.70N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
3.40
On target
3.80
10%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches162
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.1%29.6%-2.4 pp
Draw32.4%37.0%+4.6 pp
Away35.5%33.3%-2.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.4%
Over 2.532.7%
Over 3.513.0%
BTTS45.1%
Historical average
0.99–1.02
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.3%
0-014.2%
0-111.1%
1-09.3%
1-28.6%
Comparable corner averages
4.07–4.31
Average total8.38
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=162.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.546.3%
Over 9.537.0%
Over 10.527.2%
Over 11.519.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches73
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.4%18.5%–38.6% CI
Draw FT47.9%36.9%–59.2% CI
Away FT24.7%16.2%–35.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.15
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.5%
2+ goals37.0%
3+ goals8.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home46.6%
Away43.8%