La Liga · 2022/23
2023-02-19 · 17:30
12.0546.7%
X3.2729.3%
24.0024.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ath Madrid
LWLWDDWLWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Ath Bilbao
WWDDLLDLLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.50
1.00
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.60
1.60
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
3.90N=10
3.30
Against
4.00
9.50
Total
7.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.50
1.00
Goals conceded
1.50
2.50
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

1.50goals per match
Ath Bilbao conceded1.50
Matchup

Ath Bilbao attack

1.50goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
3.30
Corners against
4.00
9.50
Match total
7.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
1.70N=10
5.30
Match total
4.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
24.30
Match total
27.00

Shots

15.50N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
5.30
On target
3.90
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches399
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.7%50.4%+3.6 pp
Draw29.3%26.8%-2.5 pp
Away24.0%22.8%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.524.3%
BTTS47.9%

Historical average

1.430.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.5%
1-111.3%
0-011.0%
2-110.0%
0-18.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.474.03
Average total9.50

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=399.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.1%
Over 9.547.6%
Over 10.536.8%
Over 11.527.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches135
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.3%31.4%–47.7% CI
Draw FT40.0%32.1%–48.4% CI
Away FT20.7%14.8%–28.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.16

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.4%
2+ goals28.1%
3+ goals13.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.4%
Away34.1%