La Liga · 2021/22
2022-05-22 · 21:00
12.1245.2%
X3.9424.3%
23.1530.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Barcelona
LWWWWWLLWW
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM
Villarreal
WLWWLLLWLW
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.70
0.90
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.40
1.60
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
5.70N=10
2.10
Against
5.60
7.80
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.70
0.90
Goals conceded
1.10
3.00
Total goals
2.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Barcelona attack

2.10goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.70goals per match
Barcelona conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
1.00
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
2.10
Corners against
5.60
7.80
Match total
11.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.70
Match total
5.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
22.10
Match total
24.30

Shots

16.30N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
5.70
On target
4.60
13%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.2%35.7%-9.5 pp
Draw24.3%21.4%-2.9 pp
Away30.4%42.9%+12.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.528.6%
BTTS28.6%

Historical average

1.291.36

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-014.3%
1-214.3%
2-014.3%
1-014.3%
5-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.574.71
Average total10.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.535.7%
Over 11.535.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT61.5%35.5%–82.3% CI
Draw FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI

Remaining goals

0.92

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals23.1%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.5%
Away7.7%