La Liga · 2021/22
2022-05-15 · 18:30
12.1644.4%
X3.6326.4%
23.2929.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Villarreal
WWDWDWWDWD
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Sociedad
LDDLWLDWDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
0.80
0.70
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.00
1.60
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.40
Against
6.10
9.50
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
0.80
0.70
Goals conceded
1.70
3.20
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

2.50goals per match
Sociedad conceded1.70
Matchup

Sociedad attack

0.80goals per match
Villarreal conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.40
Corners against
6.10
9.50
Match total
11.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.60
Match total
4.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
25.40
Match total
24.50

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
5.80
On target
3.40
18%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches245
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.4%49.8%+5.4 pp
Draw26.4%27.8%+1.3 pp
Away29.2%22.4%-6.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.543.7%
Over 3.526.5%
BTTS50.6%

Historical average

1.571.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.9%
1-013.1%
2-09.8%
2-18.6%
0-17.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.604.51
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=245.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.9%
Over 9.553.5%
Over 10.538.8%
Over 11.529.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches72
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.9%28.5%–50.4% CI
Draw FT40.3%29.7%–51.8% CI
Away FT20.8%13.1%–31.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.46

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.6%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals15.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.9%
Away48.6%