La Liga · 2021/22
2022-05-15 · 18:30
11.6558.1%
X3.9024.6%
25.5617.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Celta
LWWWDWDLLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Elche
LLWDLLWLWL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.00
1.60
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.10
Against
6.40
7.30
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
1.80
2.90
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Celta attack

1.80goals per match
Elche conceded1.80
Matchup

Elche attack

1.00goals per match
Celta conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
2.20N=10
3.10
Corners against
6.40
7.30
Match total
8.60
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
0%0/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.70
Match total
5.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
25.80
Match total
28.00

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
6.60N=10
4.40
On target
2.20
17%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches179
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.1%59.8%+1.6 pp
Draw24.6%22.3%-2.3 pp
Away17.3%17.9%+0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.526.8%
BTTS53.1%

Historical average

1.800.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.0%
1-012.8%
2-010.6%
2-110.6%
3-15.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.843.74
Average total9.58

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=179.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.0%
Over 9.546.9%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.531.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches47
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.4%27.6%–54.7% CI
Draw FT36.2%24.0%–50.5% CI
Away FT23.4%13.6%–37.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.0%
2+ goals44.7%
3+ goals10.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.8%
Away44.7%