La Liga · 2021/22
2022-05-15 · 18:30
12.3241.2%
X2.9932.0%
23.5726.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ath Madrid
WWWLWWWWDW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Sevilla
WWDDDDDLWD
3W 6D 1L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
0.90
0.90
Conceded
0.70
50%
Over 2.5
10%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.70
1.50
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.80
Against
5.20
9.50
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.90
0.90
Goals conceded
0.70
2.90
Total goals
1.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

2.00goals per match
Sevilla conceded0.70
Matchup

Sevilla attack

0.90goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.20
9.50
Match total
9.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.40N=10
For
2.30N=10
6.60
Match total
4.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.10N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
27.60
Match total
25.00

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
4.40
On target
3.10
15%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches263
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.2%46.0%+4.8 pp
Draw32.0%27.8%-4.2 pp
Away26.8%26.2%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.518.3%
BTTS44.5%

Historical average

1.330.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.8%
1-112.2%
0-011.0%
2-011.0%
1-28.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.964.15
Average total9.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=263.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.0%
Over 9.543.0%
Over 10.533.1%
Over 11.520.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches100
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.0%30.0%–48.8% CI
Draw FT41.0%31.9%–50.8% CI
Away FT20.0%13.3%–28.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.0%
2+ goals32.0%
3+ goals14.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.0%
Away37.0%