La Liga · 2021/22
2022-05-12 · 19:00
14.4421.6%
X3.7525.5%
21.8152.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vallecano
WWDLLLDLDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Villarreal
LWLWWLLLWL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.20
1.00
Conceded
1.10
10%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.00
1.00
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
6.20N=10
5.40
Against
5.20
11.00
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded
1.10
1.70
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Vallecano attack

0.70goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.20goals per match
Vallecano conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.20
11.00
Match total
11.40
100%10/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.20
Match total
5.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
28.10
Match total
23.90

Shots

15.10N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
3.90
On target
4.00
5%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches82
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.6%23.2%+1.6 pp
Draw25.5%24.4%-1.1 pp
Away52.9%52.4%-0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.519.5%
BTTS46.3%

Historical average

0.881.60

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.9%
0-113.4%
0-213.4%
0-38.5%
2-17.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.245.98
Average total10.22

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=82.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.0%
Over 9.554.9%
Over 10.537.8%
Over 11.526.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%18.6%–52.2% CI
Draw FT29.6%15.9%–48.5% CI
Away FT37.0%21.5%–55.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.2%
2+ goals48.1%
3+ goals14.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.9%
Away63.0%