La Liga · 2021/22
2022-05-11 · 20:30
15.6916.9%
X3.7425.7%
21.6757.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Elche
WDWWWLLLWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Ath Madrid
LLLDLWWWLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.30
0.90
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.50
1.70
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.20
Against
4.20
8.90
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.30
0.90
Goals conceded
1.60
2.40
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Elche attack

1.50goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded1.60
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

1.30goals per match
Elche conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.20
8.90
Match total
9.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
2.10N=10
6.20
Match total
4.10
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

15.30N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
28.90
Match total
27.60

Shots

10.20N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
2.80
On target
3.80
15%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches39
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.9%23.1%+6.2 pp
Draw25.7%23.1%-2.6 pp
Away57.5%53.8%-3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.525.6%
BTTS41.0%

Historical average

0.821.41

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-217.9%
0-115.4%
0-012.8%
1-312.8%
2-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.645.28
Average total8.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=39.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.0%
Over 9.546.2%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.523.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Draw FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI
Away FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.15

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal61.5%
2+ goals46.2%
3+ goals7.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home23.1%
Away53.8%