La Liga · 2021/22
2022-05-11 · 19:30
11.6259.2%
X3.9024.6%
25.9016.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sevilla
WDWDWWDWLD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Mallorca
WLLLLLLLLL
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.80
1.10
Conceded
2.30
50%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
2.00
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.10
Against
5.30
9.60
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.80
1.10
Goals conceded
2.30
2.80
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.70goals per match
Mallorca conceded2.30
Matchup

Mallorca attack

0.80goals per match
Sevilla conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.30
9.60
Match total
9.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.00
Match total
6.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
25.30
Match total
28.60

Shots

10.70N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
3.40
On target
3.00
16%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches111
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.2%63.1%+3.9 pp
Draw24.6%23.4%-1.2 pp
Away16.2%13.5%-2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.525.2%
BTTS37.8%

Historical average

1.790.68

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-017.1%
1-015.3%
3-010.8%
1-19.9%
2-26.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.893.59
Average total9.48

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=111.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.4%
Over 9.547.7%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.526.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches40
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%44.6%–73.7% CI
Draw FT27.5%16.1%–42.8% CI
Away FT12.5%5.5%–26.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.5%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.0%
Away27.5%