La Liga · 2021/22
2022-05-08 · 20:00
12.0945.9%
X3.5427.1%
23.5627.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ath Madrid
LWWWLWWWWD
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Real Madrid
WWWLDWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
2.00
1.10
Conceded
0.70
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.10N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.70
Against
4.40
9.80
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
2.00
1.10
Goals conceded
0.70
3.10
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ath Madrid attack
2.00goals per matchReal Madrid conceded0.70Matchup
Real Madrid attack
2.00goals per matchAth Madrid conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
1.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.70
Corners against
4.40
9.80
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.40N=10
For
2.20N=10
6.70
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.70N=10
Committed
8.80N=10
28.10
Match total
23.10
Shots
13.10N=10
Shots
15.10N=10
4.80
On target
6.90
15%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches214
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.9%48.1%+2.2 pp
Draw27.1%30.4%+3.3 pp
Away27.0%21.5%-5.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.529.9%
BTTS56.1%
Historical average
1.58–1.08
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.8%
1-013.1%
2-18.9%
2-08.4%
0-06.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.50–4.47
Average total9.97
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=214.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.4%
Over 9.553.3%
Over 10.539.3%
Over 11.529.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches57
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.4%35.0%–60.1% CI
Draw FT38.6%27.1%–51.6% CI
Away FT14.0%7.3%–25.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.47
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.2%
2+ goals38.6%
3+ goals21.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home66.7%
Away42.1%