La Liga · 2021/22
2022-05-08 · 15:15
12.3540.8%
X3.3128.9%
23.1630.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Villarreal
WWWDWDWWDW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Sevilla
LWWDDDDDLW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
0.90
0.60
Conceded
0.80
50%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.80
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
0.80
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.80
Against
4.80
10.00
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
0.90
0.60
Goals conceded
0.80
3.20
Total goals
1.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

2.60goals per match
Sevilla conceded0.80
Matchup

Sevilla attack

0.90goals per match
Villarreal conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.30
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.80
Corners against
4.80
10.00
Match total
9.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.70
Match total
4.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
25.50
Match total
24.00

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
5.70
On target
3.50
19%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches689
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.8%41.2%+0.5 pp
Draw28.9%28.9%-0.1 pp
Away30.3%29.9%-0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.524.7%
BTTS51.1%

Historical average

1.341.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.2%
1-010.6%
2-19.9%
0-19.4%
0-09.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.254.57
Average total9.81

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=689.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.4%
Over 9.552.0%
Over 10.539.8%
Over 11.528.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches238
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.5%25.9%–37.7% CI
Draw FT37.8%31.9%–44.1% CI
Away FT30.7%25.2%–36.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.9%
2+ goals39.1%
3+ goals15.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.7%
Away49.2%