La Liga · 2021/22
2022-05-07 · 17:30
11.9150.2%
X3.4327.9%
24.3821.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Celta
DLWWWDWDLL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Alaves
LLLLLDLLLL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.70
1.20
Conceded
2.70
40%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.50
Against
6.00
7.30
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.70
1.20
Goals conceded
2.70
2.70
Total goals
3.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Celta attack

1.50goals per match
Alaves conceded2.70
Matchup

Alaves attack

0.70goals per match
Celta conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
3.50
Corners against
6.00
7.30
Match total
9.00
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.50
Match total
3.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

14.10N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
27.50
Match total
27.10

Shots

10.50N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
4.00
On target
2.60
14%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches316
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.2%52.8%+2.7 pp
Draw27.9%28.5%+0.5 pp
Away21.9%18.7%-3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.518.7%
BTTS46.8%

Historical average

1.470.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.6%
1-113.0%
2-112.0%
2-010.8%
0-010.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.693.77
Average total9.46

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=316.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.9%
Over 9.547.5%
Over 10.537.0%
Over 11.525.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches104
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.4%30.6%–49.0% CI
Draw FT44.2%35.1%–53.8% CI
Away FT16.3%10.5%–24.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.3%
2+ goals35.6%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.8%
Away36.5%