La Liga · 2021/22
2022-04-30 · 15:15
11.5163.7%
X4.4521.6%
26.5314.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Real Madrid
WWDWDWWWLW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Espanol
LLLWDLLDLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.80
1.70
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.30N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.40
Against
5.80
10.70
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.90
2.70
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

1.90goals per match
Espanol conceded1.90
Matchup

Espanol attack

0.90goals per match
Real Madrid conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.30N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.80
10.70
Match total
8.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.10
Match total
6.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
24.80
Match total
26.70

Shots

21.00N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
7.50
On target
3.20
9%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches109
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.7%63.3%-0.4 pp
Draw21.6%22.0%+0.4 pp
Away14.7%14.7%-0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.3%
Over 2.557.8%
Over 3.533.9%
BTTS52.3%

Historical average

2.160.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.9%
2-011.9%
2-19.2%
3-08.3%
1-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.623.64
Average total10.27

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=109.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.1%
Over 9.554.1%
Over 10.540.4%
Over 11.533.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.8%28.2%–60.7% CI
Draw FT40.6%25.5%–57.7% CI
Away FT15.6%6.9%–31.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.84

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals62.5%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away50.0%