La Liga · 2021/22
2022-04-30 · 13:00
13.4727.6%
X3.4128.1%
22.1644.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Alaves
WLDDDLWDLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Villarreal
DLWLWWLLLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.20
1.00
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.60
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.50N=10
For
5.90N=10
5.30
Against
5.00
8.80
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded
1.00
2.00
Total goals
2.20
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Alaves attack

1.00goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.00
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.20goals per match
Alaves conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.50N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
5.30
Corners against
5.00
8.80
Match total
10.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.30
Match total
4.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.70N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
27.70
Match total
25.10

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
3.50
On target
4.00
9%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches269
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.6%23.4%-4.2 pp
Draw28.1%25.7%-2.4 pp
Away44.3%50.9%+6.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.524.5%
BTTS53.9%

Historical average

1.041.55

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-212.6%
1-111.2%
0-111.2%
0-28.6%
0-08.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.705.08
Average total9.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=269.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.555.4%
Over 10.544.2%
Over 11.530.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches89
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.5%15.0%–32.2% CI
Draw FT39.3%29.8%–49.7% CI
Away FT38.2%28.8%–48.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.3%
2+ goals47.2%
3+ goals19.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.8%
Away61.8%