La Liga · 2021/22
2022-04-24 · 20:00
11.3073.6%
X5.6616.9%
210.039.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Barcelona
LDWLWWWWWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Vallecano
LDLLLLLDLW
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.60
0.90
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
1.20
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
5.90N=10
1.80
Against
4.40
7.90
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.60
0.90
Goals conceded
1.60
2.80
Total goals
2.20
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Barcelona attack

1.90goals per match
Vallecano conceded1.60
Matchup

Vallecano attack

0.60goals per match
Barcelona conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
1.80
Corners against
4.40
7.90
Match total
10.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
3.10N=10
3.90
Match total
5.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
23.90
Match total
29.50

Shots

16.20N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
5.60
On target
3.40
12%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches75
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home73.6%68.0%-5.6 pp
Draw16.9%24.0%+7.1 pp
Away9.5%8.0%-1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.0%
Over 2.558.7%
Over 3.530.7%
BTTS53.3%

Historical average

2.330.75

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.7%
2-013.3%
3-013.3%
2-19.3%
1-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

7.333.35
Average total10.68

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=75.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.577.3%
Over 9.562.7%
Over 10.550.7%
Over 11.534.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT64.7%41.3%–82.7% CI
Draw FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–18.4% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.4%
2+ goals70.6%
3+ goals29.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home82.4%
Away35.3%