La Liga · 2021/22
2022-04-21 · 18:00
12.4639.0%
X3.1630.3%
23.1230.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Espanol
WWWLLDDWWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Vallecano
LLDLLLLLDL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
0.70
1.20
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.70
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.50N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.50
Against
4.50
9.00
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.70
1.20
Goals conceded
1.90
2.80
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Espanol attack
1.60goals per matchVallecano conceded1.90Matchup
Vallecano attack
0.70goals per matchEspanol conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.50
9.00
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.50N=10
For
2.90N=10
6.90
Match total
5.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.50N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
27.00
Match total
28.70
Shots
11.00N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
3.70
On target
3.50
15%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches465
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.0%40.9%+1.9 pp
Draw30.3%32.9%+2.6 pp
Away30.7%26.2%-4.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.518.1%
BTTS47.1%
Historical average
1.20–0.97
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.9%
1-013.1%
0-012.5%
2-19.5%
0-19.2%
Comparable corner averages
4.95–4.53
Average total9.48
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=465.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.547.1%
Over 10.535.7%
Over 11.526.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches176
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.3%24.9%–38.4% CI
Draw FT46.6%39.4%–54.0% CI
Away FT22.2%16.7%–28.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.22
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal67.0%
2+ goals33.5%
3+ goals13.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away39.8%