La Liga · 2021/22
2022-04-19 · 20:30
11.4665.9%
X4.6920.5%
27.1113.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Villarreal
LWWWDWDWWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Valencia
DWWLLLWDWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
1.30
0.90
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.00
1.80
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.00
Against
5.50
10.30
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
1.30
0.90
Goals conceded
1.40
3.40
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

2.50goals per match
Valencia conceded1.40
Matchup

Valencia attack

1.30goals per match
Villarreal conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.50
10.30
Match total
9.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.60
Match total
8.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

14.00N=10
Committed
18.50N=10
26.20
Match total
33.40

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
5.40
On target
3.90
18%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches107
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.9%76.6%+10.7 pp
Draw20.5%14.0%-6.5 pp
Away13.5%9.3%-4.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.553.3%
Over 3.529.0%
BTTS41.1%

Historical average

2.130.68

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-019.6%
2-117.8%
1-012.1%
4-06.5%
0-15.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.473.53
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=107.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.2%
Over 9.552.3%
Over 10.539.3%
Over 11.529.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT75.8%59.0%–87.2% CI
Draw FT12.1%4.8%–27.3% CI
Away FT12.1%4.8%–27.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.88

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals57.6%
3+ goals30.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home81.8%
Away27.3%