La Liga · 2021/22
2022-04-17 · 15:15
11.4366.9%
X4.5021.2%
28.0311.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ath Madrid
WWLWWWLWWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Espanol
LLLLWDLLDL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
0.90
1.00
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.00
1.80
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.70
Against
5.80
10.10
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded
1.90
3.20
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

2.20goals per match
Espanol conceded1.90
Matchup

Espanol attack

0.90goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.80
10.10
Match total
9.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.20
Match total
6.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
26.80
Match total
26.60

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
5.50
On target
3.00
17%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches63
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.9%74.6%+7.8 pp
Draw21.2%14.3%-7.0 pp
Away11.9%11.1%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.520.6%
BTTS30.2%

Historical average

1.900.48

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-020.6%
2-020.6%
3-011.1%
0-16.3%
2-16.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.593.41
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=63.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.9%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.530.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT68.0%48.4%–82.8% CI
Draw FT16.0%6.4%–34.7% CI
Away FT16.0%6.4%–34.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.0%
2+ goals32.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.0%
Away24.0%