La Liga · 2021/22
2022-04-16 · 15:15
12.7135.3%
X3.1330.6%
22.8134.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Alaves
WWLDDDLWDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Vallecano
LLLDLLLLLD
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.70
1.00
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.80
Against
4.90
8.50
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.70
1.00
Goals conceded
1.90
2.00
Total goals
2.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Alaves attack

1.00goals per match
Vallecano conceded1.90
Matchup

Vallecano attack

0.70goals per match
Alaves conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.80
Corners against
4.90
8.50
Match total
9.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.00
Match total
5.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

16.00N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
28.00
Match total
29.60

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
3.50
On target
3.20
8%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches452
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.3%34.7%-0.6 pp
Draw30.6%36.5%+5.9 pp
Away34.1%28.8%-5.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.519.0%
BTTS50.7%

Historical average

1.171.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.6%
1-011.7%
0-011.7%
0-110.2%
2-18.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.964.64
Average total9.60

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=452.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.5%
Over 9.549.8%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.527.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches177
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.9%27.3%–41.1% CI
Draw FT44.1%37.0%–51.4% CI
Away FT22.0%16.6%–28.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.1%
2+ goals34.5%
3+ goals13.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.0%
Away42.4%