La Liga · 2021/22
2022-04-10 · 15:15
12.8134.2%
X3.1430.6%
22.7335.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Espanol
DWWWLLDDWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Celta
WDWDWLDDLL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
0.90
1.30
Conceded
0.70
40%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.80
1H goals
0.80
1.10
2H goals
0.80
60%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.40
Against
4.70
10.50
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.90
1.30
Goals conceded
0.70
2.90
Total goals
1.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Espanol attack
1.60goals per matchCelta conceded0.70Matchup
Celta attack
0.90goals per matchEspanol conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.40
Corners against
4.70
10.50
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.20N=10
For
2.60N=10
6.70
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.00N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
25.60
Match total
26.00
Shots
11.30N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
3.80
On target
3.60
14%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches472
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.2%29.4%-4.7 pp
Draw30.6%36.0%+5.4 pp
Away35.2%34.5%-0.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.520.6%
BTTS51.7%
Historical average
1.11–1.19
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.2%
0-011.7%
0-111.0%
1-08.7%
2-18.3%
Comparable corner averages
4.74–4.86
Average total9.61
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=472.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.7%
Over 9.550.4%
Over 10.534.5%
Over 11.525.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches178
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT24.7%19.0%–31.5% CI
Draw FT46.1%38.9%–53.4% CI
Away FT29.2%23.0%–36.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.20
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.1%
2+ goals35.4%
3+ goals12.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home43.8%
Away48.9%