La Liga · 2021/22
2022-04-09 · 17:30
12.3341.3%
X3.3528.7%
23.2030.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Villarreal
WLWWWDWDWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Ath Bilbao
DDLDWDWLLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
2.50
Scored
0.70
0.80
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.60
1H goals
0.90
1.70
2H goals
0.90
70%
Goal in 2H
40%
Corners
6.20N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.20
Against
5.60
10.40
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
0.70
0.80
Goals conceded
1.10
3.30
Total goals
1.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Villarreal attack
2.50goals per matchAth Bilbao conceded1.10Matchup
Ath Bilbao attack
0.70goals per matchVillarreal conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.60
10.40
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.30
Match total
5.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.50N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
25.50
Match total
26.80
Shots
14.10N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
5.30
On target
2.90
18%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches527
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.3%44.2%+3.0 pp
Draw28.7%27.9%-0.8 pp
Away30.0%27.9%-2.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS50.9%
Historical average
1.41–1.11
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-111.8%
1-011.2%
0-09.9%
2-19.7%
0-18.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.58–4.62
Average total10.20
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=527.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.7%
Over 9.557.9%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.531.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches184
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.2%27.8%–41.4% CI
Draw FT42.4%35.5%–49.6% CI
Away FT23.4%17.8%–30.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.27
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.7%
2+ goals38.0%
3+ goals12.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.6%
Away42.9%