La Liga · 2021/22
2022-04-03 · 20:00
11.4864.9%
X4.5021.4%
27.0213.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Barcelona
WWLDWLWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Sevilla
DWLWWDDDDD
3W 6D 1L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
0.90
0.90
Conceded
0.60
70%
Over 2.5
10%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.60
1H goals
0.70
1.70
2H goals
0.80
100%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
4.00N=10
1.90
Against
3.50
8.30
Total
7.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
0.90
0.90
Goals conceded
0.60
3.30
Total goals
1.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Barcelona attack

2.40goals per match
Sevilla conceded0.60
Matchup

Sevilla attack

0.90goals per match
Barcelona conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
1.90
Corners against
3.50
8.30
Match total
7.50
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.70
Match total
4.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
25.00
Match total
25.40

Shots

15.70N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
6.10
On target
3.10
15%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches70
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.9%67.1%+2.2 pp
Draw21.4%20.0%-1.4 pp
Away13.7%12.9%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.7%
BTTS41.4%

Historical average

1.940.63

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.7%
2-012.9%
1-111.4%
2-110.0%
3-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.273.40
Average total9.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=70.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.6%
Over 9.547.1%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.530.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT61.1%38.6%–79.7% CI
Draw FT27.8%12.5%–50.9% CI
Away FT11.1%3.1%–32.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.06

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals22.2%
3+ goals5.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away22.2%