La Liga · 2021/22
2022-04-03 · 13:00
11.4864.9%
X4.3522.1%
27.3813.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ath Bilbao
WLDLWLWWWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Elche
LDDLLWDLLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
1.70
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
1.70
50%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
2.80N=10
2.60
Against
5.90
9.20
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
3.00
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Ath Bilbao attack

1.80goals per match
Elche conceded1.70
Matchup

Elche attack

1.10goals per match
Ath Bilbao conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.60
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.10
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
2.60
Corners against
5.90
9.20
Match total
8.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.60
Match total
5.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
23.70
Match total
27.60

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
6.80N=10
5.90
On target
2.40
12%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches55
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.9%67.3%+2.4 pp
Draw22.1%25.5%+3.4 pp
Away13.0%7.3%-5.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.521.8%
BTTS50.9%

Historical average

1.780.69

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-021.8%
1-118.2%
2-012.7%
0-07.3%
2-17.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.912.98
Average total8.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=55.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.9%
Over 9.536.4%
Over 10.529.1%
Over 11.520.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT62.5%38.6%–81.5% CI
Draw FT37.5%18.5%–61.4% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–19.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals31.3%
3+ goals6.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away18.8%