La Liga · 2021/22
2022-04-03 · 13:00
11.4864.9%
X4.3522.1%
27.3813.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ath Bilbao
WLDLWLWWWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Elche
LDDLLWDLLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
1.70
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.70
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
1.70
50%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.60N=10
For
2.80N=10
2.60
Against
5.90
9.20
Total
8.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
3.00
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ath Bilbao attack
1.80goals per matchElche conceded1.70Matchup
Elche attack
1.10goals per matchAth Bilbao conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.60
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
2.60
Corners against
5.90
9.20
Match total
8.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.60
Match total
5.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.10N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
23.70
Match total
27.60
Shots
14.70N=10
Shots
6.80N=10
5.90
On target
2.40
12%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches55
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.9%67.3%+2.4 pp
Draw22.1%25.5%+3.4 pp
Away13.0%7.3%-5.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.521.8%
BTTS50.9%
Historical average
1.78–0.69
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-021.8%
1-118.2%
2-012.7%
0-07.3%
2-17.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.91–2.98
Average total8.89
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=55.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.550.9%
Over 9.536.4%
Over 10.529.1%
Over 11.520.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT62.5%38.6%–81.5% CI
Draw FT37.5%18.5%–61.4% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–19.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.19
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals31.3%
3+ goals6.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home75.0%
Away18.8%