La Liga · 2021/22
2022-04-02 · 20:00
11.3770.0%
X4.7620.2%
29.779.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ath Madrid
DWWLWWWLWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Alaves
DDLLLLLLDL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
2.50
60%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.40
1.70
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.80
Against
6.20
9.80
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
2.50
3.10
Total goals
3.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

2.00goals per match
Alaves conceded2.50
Matchup

Alaves attack

0.90goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
3.80
Corners against
6.20
9.80
Match total
8.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
1.90N=10
5.50
Match total
3.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
27.30
Match total
27.50

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
7.70N=10
5.10
On target
2.60
15%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches21
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.0%61.9%-8.1 pp
Draw20.2%28.6%+8.4 pp
Away9.8%9.5%-0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.561.9%
Over 2.533.3%
Over 3.514.3%
BTTS23.8%

Historical average

1.570.43

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-028.6%
0-019.0%
1-014.3%
3-09.5%
2-29.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.622.76
Average total8.38

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=21.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.547.6%
Over 9.533.3%
Over 10.519.0%
Over 11.59.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT61.5%35.5%–82.3% CI
Draw FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–22.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.54

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals30.8%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.2%
Away15.4%