La Liga · 2021/22
2022-04-02 · 17:30
14.0523.7%
X3.6726.2%
21.9250.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Celta
LDDLWWWDWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Real Madrid
LWWWWWLDWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.70
1.30
Conceded
0.70
40%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
5.40N=10
3.80
Against
4.60
7.50
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.70
1.30
Goals conceded
0.70
3.00
Total goals
2.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Celta attack

1.70goals per match
Real Madrid conceded0.70
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

1.70goals per match
Celta conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.10
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
3.80
Corners against
4.60
7.50
Match total
10.00
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.50
Match total
4.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
28.00
Match total
24.20

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
14.60N=10
4.40
On target
6.00
14%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches158
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.7%16.5%-7.3 pp
Draw26.2%29.1%+2.9 pp
Away50.1%54.4%+4.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.531.0%
BTTS48.7%

Historical average

0.921.77

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-211.4%
1-111.4%
0-110.8%
0-09.5%
1-28.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.515.47
Average total9.98

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=158.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.1%
Over 9.554.4%
Over 10.541.8%
Over 11.527.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches50
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.0%7.0%–26.2% CI
Draw FT42.0%29.4%–55.8% CI
Away FT44.0%31.2%–57.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals38.0%
3+ goals8.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home28.0%
Away58.0%