La Liga · 2021/22
2022-03-20 · 15:15
14.7020.4%
X3.6026.6%
21.8153.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cadiz
DLDLDLDDDW
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM
Villarreal
DLLDLWLWWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
1.00
20%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.00
1.40
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.10
Against
5.90
9.40
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.00
2.00
Total goals
2.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Cadiz attack

0.80goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.00
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.10goals per match
Cadiz conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.90
9.40
Match total
11.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.30
Match total
4.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
26.40
Match total
25.40

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
2.70
On target
3.70
7%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches35
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.4%22.9%+2.5 pp
Draw26.6%28.6%+1.9 pp
Away53.0%48.6%-4.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.531.4%
Over 3.520.0%
BTTS37.1%

Historical average

0.861.43

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-217.1%
1-114.3%
0-011.4%
0-111.4%
1-08.6%

Comparable corner averages

3.235.09
Average total8.31

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=35.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.548.6%
Over 9.525.7%
Over 10.520.0%
Over 11.511.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Draw FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Away FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals30.8%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home23.1%
Away53.8%