La Liga · 2021/22
2022-03-19 · 20:00
13.9424.3%
X3.3128.9%
22.0546.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Vallecano
WDWWWDLLLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Ath Madrid
DDWLLLDLWW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
2.10
0.80
Conceded
1.90
20%
Over 2.5
90%
30%
BTTS
80%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.70
0.80
2H goals
2.30
60%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.70
Against
5.10
11.00
Total
9.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
2.10
0.80
Goals conceded
1.90
1.70
Total goals
4.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Vallecano attack
0.90goals per matchAth Madrid conceded1.90Matchup
Ath Madrid attack
2.10goals per matchVallecano conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
1.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.70
Corners against
5.10
11.00
Match total
9.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.80
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.70N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
28.90
Match total
27.00
Shots
15.10N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
3.90
On target
4.80
6%
Conversion
20%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches74
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.3%32.4%+8.1 pp
Draw28.9%24.3%-4.6 pp
Away46.7%43.2%-3.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.559.5%
Over 2.537.8%
Over 3.518.9%
BTTS40.5%
Historical average
1.04–1.23
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-114.9%
0-013.5%
1-012.2%
1-29.5%
1-18.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.00–4.64
Average total8.64
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=74.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.547.3%
Over 9.537.8%
Over 10.529.7%
Over 11.520.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.7%9.8%–38.4% CI
Draw FT48.3%31.4%–65.6% CI
Away FT31.0%17.3%–49.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.07
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal65.5%
2+ goals27.6%
3+ goals10.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home41.4%
Away44.8%