La Liga · 2021/22
2022-03-19 · 15:15
12.7235.2%
X3.1830.1%
22.7734.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Elche
WDLLWDWWWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Valencia
LLDWWLLLWD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.30
1.20
Conceded
2.00
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.60
1.80
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.20
Against
5.90
9.30
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded
2.00
2.60
Total goals
3.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Elche attack

1.40goals per match
Valencia conceded2.00
Matchup

Valencia attack

1.30goals per match
Elche conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.90
9.30
Match total
10.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
4.40N=10
5.50
Match total
8.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

14.10N=10
Committed
18.60N=10
27.50
Match total
33.30

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
3.90
On target
4.10
12%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches510
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.2%32.0%-3.3 pp
Draw30.1%36.9%+6.7 pp
Away34.6%31.2%-3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.520.4%
BTTS51.2%

Historical average

1.151.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.1%
0-012.7%
0-110.2%
1-09.2%
2-19.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.064.75
Average total9.81

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=509.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.9%
Over 9.552.3%
Over 10.538.1%
Over 11.526.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches190
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.3%20.6%–33.0% CI
Draw FT50.0%43.0%–57.0% CI
Away FT23.7%18.2%–30.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.14

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.8%
2+ goals34.2%
3+ goals11.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.2%
Away44.2%