La Liga · 2021/22
2022-03-13 · 17:30
11.5163.4%
X4.1822.9%
26.9813.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sociedad
WWDDLLWDWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Alaves
WDDLLLLLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.10
0.60
Conceded
2.40
10%
Over 2.5
70%
20%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.40
1H goals
1.50
1.00
2H goals
2.00
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.40
Against
7.00
9.10
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.10
0.60
Goals conceded
2.40
1.40
Total goals
3.50
40%4/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
10%1/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sociedad attack

0.80goals per match
Alaves conceded2.40
Matchup

Alaves attack

1.10goals per match
Sociedad conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.90
30%3/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
2.50N=10
4.40
Corners against
7.00
9.10
Match total
9.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.90
Match total
3.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
26.90
Match total
27.30

Shots

11.30N=10
Shots
7.20N=10
3.50
On target
2.60
7%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches107
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.4%71.0%+7.6 pp
Draw22.9%20.6%-2.3 pp
Away13.7%8.4%-5.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.529.9%
BTTS47.7%

Historical average

1.910.69

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-020.6%
1-111.2%
2-010.3%
2-19.3%
3-18.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.063.52
Average total9.58

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=107.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.3%
Over 9.547.7%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.527.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT64.7%47.9%–78.5% CI
Draw FT26.5%14.6%–43.1% CI
Away FT8.8%3.0%–23.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.4%
2+ goals29.4%
3+ goals14.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.6%
Away23.5%