La Liga · 2021/22
2022-03-13 · 13:00
13.3428.7%
X3.1730.2%
22.3341.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vallecano
WWDWWWDLLL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Sevilla
WDWLWWDDDD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
0.50
30%
Over 2.5
10%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.70
0.70
2H goals
0.70
60%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
3.80N=10
5.30
Against
3.50
10.70
Total
7.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
0.50
1.80
Total goals
1.40
50%5/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
10%1/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Vallecano attack

1.00goals per match
Sevilla conceded0.50
Matchup

Sevilla attack

0.90goals per match
Vallecano conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
5.30
Corners against
3.50
10.70
Match total
7.30
90%9/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.10
Match total
5.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.70N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
28.50
Match total
24.50

Shots

15.10N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
4.10
On target
3.10
7%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches117
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.7%24.8%-3.9 pp
Draw30.2%38.5%+8.2 pp
Away41.1%36.8%-4.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.521.4%
BTTS51.3%

Historical average

0.991.27

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.9%
1-012.8%
0-012.0%
0-211.1%
2-28.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.185.00
Average total9.18

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=117.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.3%
Over 9.547.0%
Over 10.530.8%
Over 11.523.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches39
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.2%16.5%–43.8% CI
Draw FT53.8%38.6%–68.4% CI
Away FT17.9%9.0%–32.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.1%
2+ goals35.9%
3+ goals10.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.3%
Away38.5%