La Liga · 2021/22
2022-03-12 · 17:30
11.6757.5%
X4.1023.4%
25.0219.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Villarreal
DWLWWWDWDW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Celta
LWDWDWLDDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.70
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
0.70
70%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.90
1H goals
0.80
1.90
2H goals
0.80
70%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.80
Against
4.90
10.30
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
0.70
3.80
Total goals
1.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

2.70goals per match
Celta conceded0.70
Matchup

Celta attack

0.90goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.80
Corners against
4.90
10.30
Match total
9.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.00
Match total
5.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
25.10
Match total
26.70

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
5.50
On target
3.50
19%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches148
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.5%60.1%+2.7 pp
Draw23.4%17.6%-5.8 pp
Away19.1%22.3%+3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.528.4%
BTTS55.4%

Historical average

1.851.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-115.5%
0-110.8%
2-010.1%
1-19.5%
1-09.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.074.14
Average total10.21

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=148.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.2%
Over 9.555.4%
Over 10.545.3%
Over 11.533.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches36
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.2%32.0%–63.0% CI
Draw FT19.4%9.8%–35.0% CI
Away FT33.3%20.2%–49.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.58

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals38.9%
3+ goals19.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.3%
Away61.1%