La Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-23 · 20:00
11.5561.8%
X4.3122.2%
26.0115.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sevilla
WWWLWWWWLW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Alaves
LDLLLLDDLW
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
0.70
0.40
Conceded
2.00
30%
Over 2.5
50%
10%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.60
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.30N=10
For
3.40N=10
3.70
Against
6.50
8.00
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.70
0.40
Goals conceded
2.00
1.80
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sevilla attack
1.40goals per matchAlaves conceded2.00Matchup
Alaves attack
0.70goals per matchSevilla conceded0.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
3.70
Corners against
6.50
8.00
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.00
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.10N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
24.00
Match total
29.50
Shots
12.80N=10
Shots
6.60N=10
4.50
On target
1.90
11%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches85
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.8%67.1%+5.2 pp
Draw22.2%15.3%-6.9 pp
Away15.9%17.6%+1.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.568.2%
Over 3.538.8%
BTTS52.9%
Historical average
2.22–0.98
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-112.9%
2-011.8%
3-08.2%
4-08.2%
1-27.1%
Comparable corner averages
6.35–3.88
Average total10.24
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=85.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.5%
Over 9.554.1%
Over 10.547.1%
Over 11.535.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%45.4%–82.8% CI
Draw FT28.6%13.8%–50.0% CI
Away FT4.8%0.8%–22.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.76
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals57.1%
3+ goals23.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home81.0%
Away23.8%