La Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-22 · 17:00
19.2010.4%
X5.2718.2%
21.3471.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Valladolid
LDLLWDLDDL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Ath Madrid
WWDWDLDLWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
1.20
1.50
Conceded
0.80
40%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
3.00N=10
For
5.30N=10
5.40
Against
4.30
8.40
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded
0.80
2.40
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Valladolid attack
0.90goals per matchAth Madrid conceded0.80Matchup
Ath Madrid attack
1.20goals per matchValladolid conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.60
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.00N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
5.40
Corners against
4.30
8.40
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.80
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.30N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
28.10
Match total
27.90
Shots
9.50N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
3.30
On target
4.70
9%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches27
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home10.4%11.1%+0.7 pp
Draw18.2%7.4%-10.8 pp
Away71.4%81.5%+10.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.525.9%
BTTS44.4%
Historical average
0.63–2.07
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-218.5%
1-218.5%
0-114.8%
0-07.4%
1-37.4%
Comparable corner averages
3.30–7.15
Average total10.44
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=27.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.574.1%
Over 9.559.3%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.537.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Draw FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Away FT66.7%39.1%–86.2% CI
Remaining goals
2.08
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals41.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home33.3%
Away83.3%