La Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-22 · 17:00
11.4267.3%
X5.0518.9%
26.9213.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Real Madrid
LWWDWWWDWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Villarreal
WDDDLWWWLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
2.20
0.70
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.70
1.50
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.40
Against
3.90
10.30
Total
7.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
2.20
0.70
Goals conceded
0.90
2.30
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

1.60goals per match
Villarreal conceded0.90
Matchup

Villarreal attack

2.20goals per match
Real Madrid conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.40
Corners against
3.90
10.30
Match total
7.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.80N=10
For
1.50N=10
2.80
Match total
3.70
10%1/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
22.70
Match total
23.80

Shots

16.60N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
4.70
On target
4.80
10%
Conversion
21%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches40
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home67.3%70.0%+2.7 pp
Draw18.9%20.0%+1.1 pp
Away13.8%10.0%-3.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.535.0%
BTTS55.0%

Historical average

2.380.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-115.0%
3-012.5%
1-112.5%
2-010.0%
4-15.0%

Comparable corner averages

7.103.20
Average total10.30

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=40.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.5%
Over 9.567.5%
Over 10.557.5%
Over 11.537.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI
Draw FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI
Away FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.62

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.5%
Away30.8%