La Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-16 · 17:30
12.4339.3%
X3.4727.5%
22.8833.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Villarreal
WDDLLWLLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Sevilla
LWWWLDWWWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.70
1.70
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.60
1.60
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.60
Against
4.40
8.60
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.70
1.70
Goals conceded
1.20
3.00
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.30goals per match
Sevilla conceded1.20
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.70goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.90
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.60
Corners against
4.40
8.60
Match total
8.70
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.20
Match total
4.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
25.90
Match total
27.10

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
4.70
On target
4.00
12%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches196
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.3%36.2%-3.1 pp
Draw27.5%34.7%+7.2 pp
Away33.2%29.1%-4.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.524.0%
BTTS49.5%

Historical average

1.301.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.3%
0-012.2%
0-19.2%
1-08.7%
2-18.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.584.76
Average total10.34

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=196.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.558.2%
Over 10.548.0%
Over 11.536.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches77
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.8%13.2%–31.1% CI
Draw FT49.4%38.5%–60.3% CI
Away FT29.9%20.8%–40.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.8%
2+ goals39.0%
3+ goals11.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.9%
Away50.6%