La Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-16 · 17:30
12.4339.3%
X3.4727.5%
22.8833.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Villarreal
WDDLLWLLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Sevilla
LWWWLDWWWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.70
1.70
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.60
1.60
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.60
Against
4.40
8.60
Total
8.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.70
1.70
Goals conceded
1.20
3.00
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Villarreal attack
1.30goals per matchSevilla conceded1.20Matchup
Sevilla attack
1.70goals per matchVillarreal conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.90
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.60
Corners against
4.40
8.60
Match total
8.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.20
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.70N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
25.90
Match total
27.10
Shots
11.10N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
4.70
On target
4.00
12%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches196
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.3%36.2%-3.1 pp
Draw27.5%34.7%+7.2 pp
Away33.2%29.1%-4.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.524.0%
BTTS49.5%
Historical average
1.30–1.16
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.3%
0-012.2%
0-19.2%
1-08.7%
2-18.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.58–4.76
Average total10.34
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=196.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.558.2%
Over 10.548.0%
Over 11.536.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches77
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.8%13.2%–31.1% CI
Draw FT49.4%38.5%–60.3% CI
Away FT29.9%20.8%–40.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.23
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.8%
2+ goals39.0%
3+ goals11.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home42.9%
Away50.6%