La Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-16 · 17:30
11.2476.8%
X6.6914.2%
210.708.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Barcelona
DWWDWWWWLD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Celta
LLDDLWWDLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.50
0.90
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
2.00
2.00
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.00
Against
4.20
8.60
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.50
0.90
Goals conceded
1.60
3.20
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Barcelona attack

2.30goals per match
Celta conceded1.60
Matchup

Celta attack

1.50goals per match
Barcelona conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
1.10
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.00
Corners against
4.20
8.60
Match total
8.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.10
Match total
5.30
40%4/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
17.20N=10
25.80
Match total
29.10

Shots

14.80N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
6.10
On target
3.50
16%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches21
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home76.8%66.7%-10.2 pp
Draw14.2%19.0%+4.8 pp
Away8.9%14.3%+5.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.571.4%
Over 3.542.9%
BTTS61.9%

Historical average

2.331.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-119.0%
1-09.5%
4-29.5%
2-29.5%
5-19.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.522.86
Average total9.38

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=21.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.1%
Over 9.547.6%
Over 10.538.1%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Draw FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI

Remaining goals

2.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals50.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away60.0%