La Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-16 · 17:30
15.3917.8%
X4.2722.4%
21.6059.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ath Bilbao
LWDDWDDWDD
3W 6D 1L · 1.50 PPM
Real Madrid
DDWWWDWDWW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.90
1.30
Conceded
0.60
60%
Over 2.5
50%
90%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.30
1.60
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.00N=10
For
5.10N=10
5.20
Against
3.20
11.20
Total
8.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.90
1.30
Goals conceded
0.60
3.10
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ath Bilbao attack
1.80goals per matchReal Madrid conceded0.60Matchup
Real Madrid attack
1.90goals per matchAth Bilbao conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.10
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
5.20
Corners against
3.20
11.20
Match total
8.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.90
Match total
5.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.50N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
21.90
Match total
25.90
Shots
12.10N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
4.70
On target
4.80
15%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches38
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.8%13.2%-4.6 pp
Draw22.4%34.2%+11.8 pp
Away59.8%52.6%-7.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.542.1%
BTTS60.5%
Historical average
0.95–1.84
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-113.2%
1-113.2%
0-010.5%
2-210.5%
1-210.5%
Comparable corner averages
3.87–5.71
Average total9.58
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=38.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.5%
Over 9.552.6%
Over 10.531.6%
Over 11.523.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT6.7%1.2%–29.8% CI
Draw FT46.7%24.8%–69.9% CI
Away FT46.7%24.8%–69.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.13
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.3%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals6.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home33.3%
Away66.7%