La Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-16 · 17:30
11.8751.2%
X3.6426.3%
24.2622.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Alaves
LLLWLDLWWD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Granada
DLDLLLWLWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.50
1.60
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
100%
70%
BTTS
100%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.60
1.20
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
3.40N=10
3.50
Against
4.60
8.50
Total
8.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.50
1.60
Goals conceded
2.00
2.70
Total goals
3.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
100%10/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
100%10/10
Matchup

Alaves attack

1.10goals per match
Granada conceded2.00
Matchup

Granada attack

1.50goals per match
Alaves conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
1.10
1H goals conceded
1.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
3.50
Corners against
4.60
8.50
Match total
8.00
40%4/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.50
Match total
5.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.00N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
27.90
Match total
25.90

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
3.50
On target
3.40
10%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches101
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.2%56.4%+5.2 pp
Draw26.3%28.7%+2.4 pp
Away22.5%14.9%-7.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.520.8%
BTTS50.5%

Historical average

1.510.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.8%
1-015.8%
1-110.9%
0-010.9%
2-08.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.573.93
Average total9.50

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=101.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.4%
Over 9.549.5%
Over 10.537.6%
Over 11.522.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%34.1%–65.9% CI
Draw FT41.2%26.4%–57.8% CI
Away FT8.8%3.0%–23.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.6%
2+ goals29.4%
3+ goals17.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.8%
Away29.4%